Best Bets of the Day – The 19th of December, 2011 Free Horse Racing Tips from Wolverhampton
Just one selection today, a speedy 25/1 outsider and he runs at Wolverhampton Racecourse.
Stunningly awful stuff on Saturday. Politeo and Wymott were both backed under the assumption that they’d be ridden handily but that never happened and they were both dropped out in rear. The latter, despite being very well supported, was given absolutely no chance to show his best. Conditions were given as the excuse for his below-par run but I wouldn’t believe that for a second. No harm though, it could always be worse and he’s one for another time.
Attaglance ran well for a while but weakened out of the equation on the ground and this run can be ignored. Given his usual strong travelling ways, the way he dropped out suggested that something wasn’t suiting him and it must have been ground conditions (he was also very weak in the market, so it was probably expected). He’s a better horse than that and will be of interest again when it’s not so testing underfoot.
Benbane Head was pulled up and never had a chance on the ground. He was quite a silly selection in hindsight, as his trainer said that he was worried about conditions being too much for the horse and that was spot on. Pursuing with him mightn’t be a bad idea, but decent ground will be a must. It’d also be good if he was running at a track that doesn’t put a huge emphasis on jumping abilities, as he’s quite modest in that department.
I’ve never witnessed a horse pulling as hard as Desert Cry did in the big handicap hurdle at Ascot and on a couple of occasions it looked like he’d pull himself over to the chase course. Beforehand, it seemed as if they’d go a good clip up top but they crawled along and that ruined his chance before they had run fifty yards. He’s one for again I’m sure.
Last time out selection Reya Star went on to win at 12/1 as well, which is frustrating as I usually persist with them when they look like well-handicapped sorts. One of those days I suppose.
-12.00pts on the day, one of the worst in a while.
I’m now on nice little losing run, with the current count being 13. Hopefully it’ll end soon but after the last couple of months, I suppose it’s to be expected. The monthly tally sits at +32pts, so no point in getting too down just yet and fingers crossed that a return to winning ways comes about sooner rather than later.
Just the one today, coming at Wolverhampton, but he’s not exactly a selection to put much faith in and anyone who’s interested in playing should do so at caution.
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3:20 Wolverhampton - Spin Again - 2pts @ 25/1 (Ladbrokes, WillHill)
Taking a bit of a wild punt by backing Spin Again here, as there’s a chance that his most recent outings are suggesting that he’s just regressive and not up to showing his best at this moment in time. However, if that’s not the case and he was just in need of a couple of runs after a six month lay-off, he should prove to be a lively outsider in a race that won’t take a whole lot of winning. It usually pays to race handily around Wolverhampton in any event but this race doesn’t seem to have too many pace influences (the most likely pressers are all drawn high), unless some of the runners dramatically change their recent run styles, and siding with those who are up there from the off could pay dividends.
Spin Again has twice went very close to winning at this track for the Mark Wellings yard earlier on in the year when running over a furlong further. He was beaten a length off 68 by an inform rival here (who went on to win off higher marks since) in February when under the guidance of young apprentice Lucy Barry and then went even closer under the same jockey next month when short-headed at this track by another useful all-weather performer (who had first-time cheekpieces to help) – this time when rated 70. A replication of that form would see him go well here and barring disaster, the race should pan out in similar fashion, which is an obvious help.
Today, Spin Again lines up off a mark of 67 in a race of similar quality and although he won’t be getting 7lbs off his back from the apprentice, Adam Kirby hops on board for the first time. When he’s going all out to win races, he’s as good as any around here and is also riding very well of late, so it’s a definite plus to see him in the saddle. Kirby also has a better record than any when riding for the Wellings yard (10-70 on all-weather), who don’t get many winners generally, and the booking could well be significant. Whether it is or not remains to be seen but it’s certainly eye-catching in ways.
Spin Again will have to put some very modest performances behind him, as he has only managed to beat home a single rival in his last couple of outings. However, he was drawn out of it in the widest stall last time out and couldn’t dominate, which is something that he usually needs to do. In the other race, he just went off to fast and looked in need of the outing on the back of that six month break, so it may be best to forgive that effort too. It may well be that he’s just regressive but I’m hopeful that isn’t the case, as he has bounced back from poor runs previously. He has a lovely sit in stall 1 today and should be able to get to the front without much problem. If he’s left alone in front and allowed to set his own fractions, he’ll be hard to peg back if still as good as he once was. If he’s harried from the off, there’s a strong possibility that he’ll drop out of contention and finish out the back. It’s definitely a bet full of risk and I’ll be quite lucky to see a return but the horse is useful on his day, at this level, and is a 25/1 shot, so well worth taking a chance on at the price. Small/medium win stakes for me and let’s hope for the best.
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